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The Drain Risk Index — Where America’s Drains Work Hardest

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Cut end of an old metal pipe heavily narrowed by rust and scale build-up
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Three things measurably shape how often a drain line gives trouble, and all three vary enormously by state: how deep the ground freezes, which drives the joint movement that lets roots in; how hard the water is, which drives the scale that narrows a pipe over decades; and how old the housing is, which is the best available proxy for what the buried pipe is actually made of.

We combined published figures for all three into a single 0–100 score across the 37 states where we have coverage and all three data points. Higher means more pressure on buried drain and sewer lines.

Read the limitations before citing this. This is a state-level index built from state-level figures, so it cannot tell you about your street — it compares environments, it does not predict any individual property. It does not include tree canopy or storm intensity, both of which matter. The housing-age component is a median of medians: we take the US Census median year built for each town we cover and take the median across the state. 5 states are marked † because fewer than 20 of their towns had housing data, and a median from a small sample should be read with caution.

The index

#StateCompositeFrostFrost scoreHardnessHardness scoreMedian year builtAge scoreTowns
1Minnesota6780″100150-300 ppm8019882062
2Iowa6658″7280-180 ppm4319508348
3Indiana6436″45150-350 ppm90196657183
4New York4950″6230-120 ppm22196362391
5Utah4830″38200-350+ ppm1001996750
6Maine 4874″9220-100 ppm1619793512
7Kansas 4832″40150-350+ ppm901992139
8Pennsylvania4644″5560-180 ppm39197345368
9Missouri4633″41100-300+ ppm71198525103
10Colorado4644″55120-250 ppm65198918107
11New Mexico 4518″22150-350+ ppm901987225
12New Jersey4436″4550-150 ppm31196657473
13Ohio4332″4080-180 ppm43197247187
14Illinois4336″4560-180 ppm39197345245
15New Hampshire4260″7520-100 ppm16197935132
16California425″6100-300 ppm71197148263
17Rhode Island4038″4830-120 ppm2219705046
18Oklahoma4020″25120-300 ppm7519882040
19Massachusetts4032″4030-120 ppm22196657178
20Arizona3810″12200-350+ ppm1001998351
21Texas3610″12150-350+ ppm9019975132
22Maryland3630″3860-180 ppm39198132176
23Idaho3431″3920-180 ppm3119813231
24West Virginia 3232″4080-180 ppm431992134
25Delaware3132″4060-180 ppm3919921349
26Kentucky3015″19100-180 ppm47198525404
27Florida300″0100-300 ppm71198820150
28Virginia2918″2260-180 ppm39198427119
29Louisiana264″5100-180 ppm4719842745
30North Carolina2510″1260-180 ppm39198623204
31Tennessee2412″1580-180 ppm43199115114
32Oregon2418″2220-120 ppm20198230114
33Washington2324″3020-120 ppm2019891874
34South Carolina224″580-180 ppm4319901781
35Georgia205″680-180 ppm43199312119
36Hawaii180″020-100 ppm1619783731
37Mississippi 178″1080-150 ppm371997516

Methodology

  1. Frost depth is the published state frost-line figure in inches, normalised linearly from 0″ (score 0) to 80″ (score 100).
  2. Water hardness is the midpoint of the published state hardness range in ppm, normalised linearly from 20 ppm (score 0) to 275 ppm (score 100).
  3. Housing age is the median across the towns we cover of the US Census median year structure built (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25035), normalised so that a median of 1940 scores 100 and 2000 scores 0. Older housing scores higher because it is more likely to sit on jointed clay or cast-iron laterals rather than plastic.
  4. Composite is an unweighted mean of the three sub-scores. We chose equal weighting because we have no defensible basis for preferring one over another — and we would rather say that than invent a weighting that looks more scientific than it is.
  5. States missing any of the three are excluded rather than estimated.

What the third factor changed

Adding housing age moved the table substantially, and in a direction worth understanding. Iowa rises sharply on a median build year of 1950 — the oldest housing stock in our coverage — despite unremarkable water. New York and New Jersey rise for the same reason. Arizona and Texas fall: the water is genuinely hard, but the housing is new enough that most of it is on plastic pipe that does not care. That is the point of including it. Hard water attacking a PVC lateral laid in 1998 is a much smaller problem than soft water around jointed clay laid in 1935.

How to read it, and how not to

A high score means the environment and the likely pipe are harder on a buried line, not that your drain will block. Tree planting, how the line was originally laid and bedded, and what has gone down it since all matter, and none of them is in here.

Download the data

The full index is available as a CSV: drain-risk-index-v1.csv — rank, state, composite, frost depth, water hardness, median year built and all three sub-scores. Published under CC BY 4.0, so you may republish or adapt it, including commercially, with attribution.

Every state also has its own page with the numbers behind its ranking. Click any state in the table above.

Licence and reuse

This index is published under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0. You are free to use, adapt and republish it, including commercially, with attribution to DrainDispatch. If you use it, we would appreciate a link back, though the licence requires attribution rather than a link specifically.

Sources: state frost-line depth reference tables; published state water-hardness data; US Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-year estimates 2023, table B25035. All cited in full on the methodology page.

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